Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.009476 0.011287 0.013501 0.016456 0.020378 0.025526 0.033018
2025-05-11 0.007133 0.009201 0.012042 0.016398 0.023249 0.034305 0.055289
2025-05-18 0.005788 0.007832 0.010851 0.015921 0.024911 0.041931 0.082726
2025-05-25 0.004829 0.006748 0.009725 0.015056 0.025396 0.047645 0.113380
2025-06-01 0.004185 0.005999 0.008926 0.014461 0.026063 0.054153 0.156970
2025-06-08 0.003842 0.005657 0.008711 0.014831 0.028841 0.067945 0.259690
2025-06-15 0.003488 0.005237 0.008275 0.014643 0.030278 0.079526 0.401150
2025-06-22 0.003114 0.004734 0.007606 0.013805 0.029764 0.084526 0.534935
2025-06-29 0.002911 0.004501 0.007398 0.013912 0.031854 0.101875 0.964272
2025-07-06 0.002781 0.004380 0.007381 0.014445 0.035482 0.131813 2.385707
2025-07-13 0.002714 0.004362 0.007565 0.015509 0.041507 0.188501 12.967283
2025-07-20 0.002604 0.004251 0.007537 0.016036 0.046099 0.251964 270.197414
2025-07-27 0.002434 0.004027 0.007276 0.015986 0.049018 0.322010 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002281 0.003821 0.007029 0.015940 0.052198 0.421511 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002119 0.003581 0.006674 0.015482 0.053234 0.508496 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001953 0.003317 0.006229 0.014649 0.051896 0.553257 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001820 0.003109 0.005891 0.014076 0.051670 0.632809 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001752 0.003030 0.005845 0.014432 0.057125 0.970484 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001663 0.002897 0.005652 0.014251 0.059298 1.290343 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001550 0.002706 0.005297 0.013444 0.056810 1.342392 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001491 0.002626 0.005208 0.013547 0.060851 2.057663 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001455 0.002592 0.005229 0.014061 0.068759 4.296529 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001441 0.002604 0.005371 0.015085 0.082961 17.887286 NaN